I read on MSN that the NAR apparently overstated home sales by as much as 20% as far back as 2007. The author opines, without any apparent reason, that “No one seems to be implying that numbers were massaged, cooked or manipulated.”

I would think there is every reason to believe the numbers were massaged, cooked or manipulated since that would be in the NAR’s interests and consistent with its numerous misleading practices.

If the numbers were manipulated by the NAR, I would think that would make the NAR a target for legal action by anyone and everyone who purchased real estate while the numbers were being manipulated and subsequently saw the market price of their property drop (that would be the vast majority who purchased since 2007). Obviously inflated figures would have inspired false buyer confidence.

Shouldn’t the justice department investigate? Wouldn’t this constitute a RICO violation? A subpoena of email and other correspondence at the NAR would likely allow an easy determination of innocence or guilt. I am tempted to say I would be shocked if there is no investigation, but sadly I am no longer affected that way by the government’s stupidity, incompetence and audacious complicity with power elites.

I guess it would be up to those who bought houses and suffered to initiate legal action. I think they should all sue the NAR. Fortunately for me I am not one of them as I have followed and heeded the information on Patrick.net for several years.

Source Article Patrick.net

MINNEAPOLIS (Oct. 12, 2010) – GMAC Mortgage is committed to preserving the integrity of the foreclosure process and in that spirit has engaged several leading legal and accounting firms to conduct independent reviews of its foreclosure procedures in each of the 50 states.  In addition, foreclosure sale files nationwide receive an additional review by a specialized team to ensure that: home preservation procedures have been fully followed; the timing and substance of the foreclosure is appropriate; and the file itself is in good order and complies with all laws and requirements of the state of jurisdiction.

Foreclosure is a very serious matter and only implemented when all other home preservation options have been fully exhausted.  We are taking these additional steps to restore confidence in the process, which is critical for the stability of the home and mortgage industry.  

In addition to the nationwide measures, the review and remediation activities related to cases involving judicial affidavits in the 23 states continues and has been underway for approximately two months.  As each of those files is reviewed, and remediated when needed, the foreclosure process resumes.  GMAC Mortgage has found no evidence to date of any inappropriate foreclosures.  

GMAC Mortgage is committed to working through this matter diligently and encourages borrowers with questions to contact a customer service representative at 866-304-4682 or loan.assist@gmacm.com.  Additional information Buy Amoxil can be found by visiting www.gmacmortgage.com.  

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A record 3 million U.S. homes will be repossessed by lenders this year as high unemployment and depressed home values leave borrowers unable to make their house payment or sell, according to a RealtyTrac Inc. forecast.

Last year there were 2.82 million foreclosures, the most since RealtyTrac began compiling data in 2005. More than 4.5 million filings are expected this year, including default or auction notices and bank seizures, said Rick Sharga, senior vice president for the seller of default data and forecasts based in Irvine, Calif. There were 3.96 million filings in 2009.

“This will be the peak year, and the main reasons are unemployment and house prices that have stabilized way below mortgage amounts,” Kenneth Rosen, chairman of the University of California’s Fisher Center for Real Estate and Urban Economics in Berkeley, said in an interview.

Government and lender efforts to keep people in their homes are failing to relieve the worst foreclosure crisis since the Great Depression. Unemployment was 10 percent in December, unchanged from the previous month, while the so-called underemployment rate that includes part-time workers and discouraged workers rose to 17.3 percent from 17.2 percent, the Labor Department said Jan. 8.

U.S. lenders permanently modified 31,382 mortgages, or 1 percent, of the 4 million loans targeted under the Obama administration’s foreclosure prevention plan through November, the U.S. Treasury Department said last month. Fewer than half of the 3.2 million homeowners estimated as eligible for mortgage relief by the Treasury actually qualify, according to Herb Allison, assistant secretary for financial stability.

“The government doesn’t have their act together on housing,” Rosen said. “They seem to be pussy-footing around. We need a much more robust effort.”

Obama’s loan-modification program is “destined to fail” because it doesn’t confront the problem of negative equity that is driving foreclosures, Laurie Goodman, senior managing director at Amherst Securities Group LP, told Congress Dec. 8. Homeowners with negative equity, where a property is worth less than the loan, have little incentive to keep paying the mortgage and will “strategically default,” Rosen said.

More than 728,000 borrowers have already received an average $550 reduction in monthly payments, giving them “a second chance to stay in their homes,” she said.

An $8,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit and a $200 billion lifeline to keep mortgage buyers Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac solvent are among the administration’s efforts to date that have supported the housing market, she said.

“Modifications will not be the solution for all homeowners and will not solve the housing crisis alone,” Reilly said.

The number of homeowners with negative equity totaled 10.7 million, or 23 percent, at the end of the third quarter, according to a Nov. 24 report by First American CoreLogic, a Santa Ana, Calif.-based real estate research firm.

Home prices probably fell 13 percent in 2009 to a median of $172,700, following a drop of 9.5 percent the previous year, Walt Molony, a spokesman for the National Association of Realtors, said in an interview. Prices are down 26 percent from the July 2006 peak.

Defaults among prime borrowers are likely to accelerate, adding to a “huge” inventory of properties that banks possess and haven’t yet put on the market, according to Robert Shiller and Karl Case, who created the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index. In September, Goodman estimated that 7 million homes were already in foreclosure or likely to be seized.

The housing market is weighed down by a “a massive supply of delinquent loans” that will end up in foreclosure this year, James Saccacio, RealtyTrac’s chief executive officer, said in a statement Friday.

The end of the government’s tax credit for first-time buyers, scheduled to expire in the spring, and the end of the Federal Reserve’s $1.25 trillion purchase of mortgage bonds, may add to housing woes, Rosen said.

A total of 2,824,674 U.S. properties got at least one foreclosure filing in 2009, a 21 percent jump from the prior year and more than double the number in 2007, RealtyTrac said.

About 2.2 percent of households received a filing last year, according to the company, which sells default data collected from more than 2,200 counties representing 90 percent of the U.S. population.

December filings increased 15 percent from a year earlier to 349,519, the 10th straight month the tally surpassed 300,000. Foreclosures in the fourth quarter jumped 18 percent from the same period in 2008 and fell 7 percent from the third quarter.

Nevada had the highest foreclosure rate for the third straight year in 2009, with more than 10 percent of households receiving at least one filing. December filings fell 22 percent from a year earlier and rose 27 percent from November.

Arizona had the second-highest rate for the year as more than 6 percent of households got a filing. Florida was third at 5.93 percent, followed by California at 4.75 percent and Utah at 2.93 percent, RealtyTrac said.

The other states among the 10 highest rates were Idaho at 2.72 percent, Georgia at 2.68 percent, Michigan at 2.61 percent, Illinois at 2.5 percent and Colorado at 2.37 percent.

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A supply of 1.7 million homes headed for sale because of foreclosure or delinquency looms over the nation’s housing market, which could dampen progress toward recovery should the Obama administration fail in its efforts to aid struggling homeowners, researchers said.

A variety of measures to keep discounted bank-owned properties off the market — including moratoriums on foreclosures by major lenders and federal initiatives aimed at keeping people in their homes with mortgage payments they can afford — has helped increase a backlog of so-called shadow inventory 55% in the year ended Sept. 30, according to a report released Thursday by First American CoreLogic, a Santa Ana-based real estate research firm.

Shadow inventory properties are homes that have not been tallied into official inventory numbers tracked by Realtors and other real estate professionals. They include homes taken back by lenders through foreclosures and similar actions, as well as homes whose owners are at least 90 days delinquent on their mortgage payments.

A year earlier, the pending supply of homes not yet up for sale totaled 1.1 million.

A debate has emerged among real estate professionals and economists over how big an effect shadow properties will have on housing prices and sales if lenders unload them onto the market next year.

Some argue that lenders, concerned about potential losses, will moderate the pace of repossessions to avoid depressing the market. Others say efforts by the government won’t be able to keep up with the sheer number of defaults brought on by unemployment and depressed home values.

“One of the key questions is the timing, and a lot of the timing issues are really related to the administration’s HAMP program,” or Home Affordable Modification Program, said Sam Khater, a senior economist for First American. “If many of the loans that are delinquent are able to be successfully modified, and those loans perform, then that should alleviate this issue of the pending supply and shadow inventory.”

Such success is proving elusive. Data released last week by the federal government showed that though the number of temporary mortgage modifications grew, very few had turned into permanent ones. Only 31,382 of the more than 700,000 mortgage modifications under the federal program — less than 5% — had been made permanent by the end of November. Late last month the Obama administration unveiled new measures, including the threat of fines, to push mortgage servicers to improve.

“Our forecast is that [home] prices will drop,” Khater said. “We are basically expecting that the program will continue to proceed as it has in the recent past. There might be a slight improvement, but it is a drop in the bucket relative to the size of the pipeline of default that is coming up.”

In California, home prices and sales have shown steady improvement in part because foreclosure properties have made up a smaller fraction of the housing for sale in recent months. A report released Thursday drugs store by research firm MDA DataQuick showed that the state’s median home price in November was up 1.6% over the prior month, at $261,000. Of the previously owned homes sold statewide last month, 40.6% had been foreclosed on during the last year — the lowest proportion since May 2008, when it was 39.8%, and considerably down from its February peak of 58.8%, DataQuick said.

“One of the big reasons that we have had stability in prices is that there is very little supply these days,” said Gerd-Ulf Krueger, principal economist at HousingEcon.com. “The foreclosure supply really has shrunk, and it will be interesting to see what happens when that comes back on the market sometime next year. . . . It looks like the banks, under the urging of the Obama administration, are going to do the smart thing and mete it out in a more fashionable way, a more careful way.”

First American estimated that the inventory not yet on the market constituted a 3.3-month supply at the end of the third quarter, up from 2.4 months a year earlier. The number of homes for sale was 3.8 million, a 7.8-month supply at the current sales pace, First American said. That’s down from 4.7 million, or a 10.1-month supply, a year earlier.

Stuart Gabriel, director of UCLA’s Ziman Center for Real Estate, laid out a troubling scenario that could play out if shadow properties do hit the market early next year: a contagion effect in which waves of foreclosures beget more, taking down the values of entire neighborhoods. Concern over such an outcome could cause sellers and lenders to act more cautiously, slowing the pace at which they take back troubled properties, he said.

“Some are strategically holding property off the market and are only putting it back on in dribs and drabs,” he said. “They’re playing this interesting game where, on one hand, they need to liquidate these properties, but they can’t create a downward implosion in prices that will come back and bite them even harder.”

Some lenders have declared limited foreclosure moratoriums this year to give troubled borrowers time to catch up on their payments or work out other solutions. Those announcements continued Thursday: Mortgage titans Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac said they would suspend foreclosure evictions from Saturday to Jan. 3, and Citigroup Inc. said it would suspend some foreclosures and evictions from today to Jan. 17.

And some experts aren’t worried about the possibility of a foreclosure wave next year.

John Husing, an economist who studies the Inland Empire, recently wrote a report arguing that home prices in that hard-hit area had bottomed at the end of the second quarter and were likely to keep recovering because homes had reached record levels of affordability.

At the end of the second quarter, for instance, 73% of all families in San Bernardino County and 68% in Riverside County could afford the cheaper 50% of homes in their counties, Husing wrote, citing data from the California Assn. of Realtors. In 2005, 19% in San Bernardino County and 14% in Riverside County could afford to buy such homes.

“It’s not the supply side of the market that we should be focusing on anymore,” Husing said. “Demand has taken off because affordability, at least in the inland region, is at record levels.”

When housing prices hit bottom, they will languish near those low levels for years to come. So don’t be in a rush to buy.

Mortgage interest rates are at a 50-year low. Last month, Congress extended a tax credit for home buyers through April. The economy is beginning to crawl out of what by some measures is the deepest recession since the 1930s. One survey already shows house prices beginning to rise.

So isn’t it time to buy a home? Kiplinger’s certainly thinks so. But if I were in the market for a new home, I would wait. Housing prices typically don’t rebound quickly after a bust; instead, they level out and stay near that low base line for years.

I don’t see why this time should be different. True, prices seem as though they can’t drop further, and in some areas they even show signs of an upturn. But if prices won’t be taking off and might well resume their decline, you lose nothing but a little time by waiting to buy.

Of course, if you’re buying out of necessity — because you’re moving to a new area and need to sell your old house and buy a new one, for example — there’s no need to wait. But if you’re planning to buy your first house, if you want to move to a larger home, or especially if you’re buying a house for investment purposes, take your time.

The housing picture is complex — and frightening. House prices have plunged 30%, on average, from their 2006 peak. But from 2000 to 2006, average prices nearly doubled. That means average house prices are still almost 40% higher than they were a decade ago. Forty percent is a healthy increase — even in a robust economy.

And the economy, of course, is anything but robust. A fragile recovery seems to have begun last summer, but unemployment stands at 10.2% and is likely to rise even higher. It may not begin to fall substantially until late next year. Companies were quick to lay off workers, but they are being slow to hire.

As bad as the overall economy is, residential real estate is in much worse shape. About seven million households — or 12.5% of all homeowners — either are behind on their mortgages by 30 days or more or are in foreclosure. It’s hard to make the house payment if you’re unemployed. Millions of houses already stand empty — victims of the subprime loans that sparked the Great Recession. Almost a quarter of homeowners owe order drugs online more on their mortgages than their houses are worth.

The history of busts.

Nationally, housing prices haven’t declined from one calendar year to the next since accurate record keeping began in 1968. But in 2005, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. identified 21 regional housing busts since 1968. (The FDIC defined a bust as a decline of 15% over five years.)

Busts occurred in Texas when oil prices sank in the mid 1980s, in Southern California in the early 1990s amid defense-industry cutbacks, and in much of the Northeast corridor in the late 1980s and early 1990s. The 21 busts happened for varying reasons, and each unfolded differently. But they all shared one common trait: A nasty regional recession triggered each one.

Many (but not all) busts followed booms — just as our national housing crash followed an unprecedented boom.

Most (but not all) of the regional busts tended to be painfully protracted affairs. Why? Because unless you’re forced out, most of us would rather stay in a house, pay the mortgage and hope for an eventual upturn rather than sell and realize our losses quickly. That means home prices don’t go down all at once; they tend to slide agonizingly slowly on infrequent sales.

True, the tax credits and low mortgage rates make buying a house tempting today. But if you buy into a slumping housing market, those incentives won’t add up to much. So while the worst of the real estate decline is surely behind us, the odds are strong that you’ll be able to buy later at the same price — or a lower one.

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Negative equity, often referred to as “underwater” or “upside down,” means that borrowers owe more on their mortgage than their homes are worth.

Data Highlights

Nearly 10.7 million, or 23 percent, of all residential properties with mortgages were in negative equity as of September, 2009. An additional 2.3 million mortgages were approaching negative equity, meaning they had less than five percent equity. Together negative equity and near negative equity mortgages account for nearly 28 percent of all residential properties with a mortgage nationwide.

The distribution of negative equity is heavily concentrated in five states: Nevada (65 percent), which had the highest percentage negative equity, followed by Arizona (48 percent), Florida (45 percent), Michigan (37 percent) and California (35 percent). Among the top five states, the average negative equity share was 40 percent, compared to 14 percent for the remaining states. In numerical terms, California (2.4 million) and Florida (2.0 million) had the largest number of negative equity mortgages accounting for 4.4 million or 42 percent of all negative equity loans

Click on image for larger graph in new window.

This graph shows the negative equity and near negative equity by state.

Although the five states mentioned above have the largest percentgage of homeowners underwater, a number of other states have 20% or more homeowners with mortgages with little or negative equity.

Note: Louisiana, Maine, Mississippi, South Dakota, Vermont, West Virginia and Wyoming are NA in the graph above.

The second graph shows homeowners with severe negative equity for five states.

These homeowners are far more likely to default.

The rise in negative equity is closely tied to increases in pre-foreclosure activity. At one end of the spectrum, borrowers with equity tend to have very low default rates. At the other end, investors tend to default on their mortgages once in negative equity more ruthlessly: their default rate is typically two to three percent higher than owner-occupied homes with similar degrees of negative equity. For the highest level of negative equity, investors and owners behave very similarly and default at similar rates (Figure 4). Strategic default on the part of the owner occupier becomes more likely at such high levels of negative equity.

Here is figure 4 from the report.

The default rate increases sharply for homeowners with more than 20% negative equity.

This graph fits with figure 2 above and suggests a large number of future defaults in Nevada, Arizona, Florida and California.

Note below that negative equity is still a problem for buyers in 2009!

• The bulk of ‘upside down’ borrowers, as a group, share certain characteristics. They:

Financed their properties between 2005 and 2008, with 2006 being the peak year where 40 percent of borrowers were in negative equity (Figure 5). Negative equity continues to be a problem even for 2009 originations as evidenced by a negative equity share of 11 percent and another 5 percent near negative equity.

Purchased newly built homes that are concentrated in a small number of states. For homes built between 2006 and 2008, the negative equity share is over 40 percent.

Relied on adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs)

Bought less expensive properties. The average value for all properties with a mortgage is $270,200, but properties in negative equity have an average value of $210,300 or 22 percent less (Figure 8). The average prescription online mortgage debt for properties in negative in equity was $280,000 and borrowers that were in a negative equity position were upside down by an average of nearly $70,000. The aggregate property value for loans in a negative equity position was $2.2 trillion, which represents the total property value at risk of default, against which there was a total of $2.9 trillion of mortgage debt outstanding.

Most homeowners with negative equity will probably not default, but this does show that there could be several hundred billion more in losses coming from residential mortgages.

The Making Home Affordable program has begun trial modifications for more than 650,000 borrowers since it was launched in February, according to data released Tuesday by the Treasury Department. That amounts to 20% of those eligible for the program. More than 217,000 trial modifications, or roughly one-third, were under way in just two states: California and Florida.

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Tyler Bissmeyer for The Wall Street JournalGerald Bullock, shown at his home in Cincinnati recently, said paperwork glitches hampered his effort to obtain a permanent mortgage modification.

The program provides financial incentives to mortgage companies and investors to reduce loan payments to affordable levels. The Treasury Department said the program was on track to meet its goal of offering help to between 3 million and 4 million borrowers over the next several years. Those who are 60 days or more delinquent on their mortgages or at risk of imminent default are eligible.

Whether the program will ultimately be judged a success will depend upon how many trial modifications become permanent. To receive a permanent fix, borrowers must be current on their payments in the trial program after three months and submit a hardship affidavit and other documents.

The administration won’t release figures on completed modifications until December, but so far it appears that very few trial modifications are becoming permanent, often because of a lack of documentation.

J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. said last week that more than 92,000 of its customers have made at least three trial payments under buy amoxicillin the program, but just 26% of them had submitted all the required documents for a permanent fix. Many other borrowers are still in the early stages of the program.

“It’s a fiasco in the making,” said Alan White, an assistant professor at Valparaiso University in Indiana, citing preliminary information about low numbers of permanent modifications and complaints from attorneys and housing counselors.

“The good news is you’ve gotten all these homeowners in from the cold and on these temporary modifications,” Mr. White said. “The bad news is we are stumbling in getting all these people…all the way” to keeping their homes.

At Morgan Stanley’s Saxon Mortgage Services, about 26,000 of the 39,000 borrowers in the program have made more than three trial payments. Roughly 500 have received completed modifications.

“It’s hard to get the documents in,” said Saxon Chief Executive Anthony Meola, adding that 82% of borrowers are current on their trial payments. Mortgage servicers collect loan payments and work with troubled borrowers.

The Treasury Department last month gave borrowers who have made three trial payments sixty additional days to hand in their paperwork and relaxed some documentation requirements.

It’s not clear yet what will happen to borrowers who make payments, but don’t submit required paperwork.

“We have gone the extra mile,” said Assistant Treasury Secretary Michael Barr in an interview. “Now it’s up to the servicers to close the deal.”

The administration continues to look for ways to address challenges in turning trial modifications into permanent fixes, a Treasury spokeswoman said.

Loosening documentation requirements should make it easier to complete some modifications, said Sanjiv Das, president of Citigroup’s mortgage unit, which has finalized more than 1,600 of the modifications. Roughly 70% of the 68,000 borrowers in the program are current on their payments, Citigroup said.

Still, some borrowers say their mortgage companies have kept them in limbo for months. Gerald Bullock of Cincinnati said he has made seven trial payments and provided J.P. Morgan more than 60 pages of documents, but this week got another request for documents.

“We don’t know if we have a house to live in or not,” said Mr. Bullock, who fell behind on payments after becoming disabled in a workplace injury. “It just adds to [my] anger and depression.”

A J.P. Morgan spokesman said Tuesday that Mr. Bullock’s final modification was approved Friday and paperwork finalizing it will be sent this week. “Unfortunately, we mistakenly called him for additional documents,” the spokesman said.

In an effort to get required documents, Saxon recently offered more than 5,000 Florida and California borrowers in the trial program $25 gift cards if they brought their paperwork to a nearby company event. About 15% responded, the company said.

Freddie Mac, the government-controlled mortgage company, recently hired Titanium Solutions Inc. to go door-to-door gathering needed documents. “Most of our borrowers got into the loan with assistance” and need similar help with the modification process, said Freddie Mac Senior Vice President Ingrid Beckles.

Susan Cook, a real-estate broker who works as a home-retention consultant for Titanium, said borrowers often report that they have sent in their paperwork “two or three times.” But “there is always some little piece that is probably missing,” she said.

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The new tax break for businesses signed into law on Friday will result in a windfall valued at hundreds of millions of dollars for the biggest home builders, boosting the cash hoard the companies are tapping as they limp toward recovery.

The tax break would give companies big refunds to help make up for recent losses. Specifically, it would let large firms claim cash refunds on taxes they paid going back five years, to offset current losses. Previously, the carry-back period for large firms was two years.

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Bloomberg NewsMeritage expects a refund of about $60 million under the new tax break. Above, one of the firm’s construction sites in Roseville, Calif., in August.

Although the new tax break would apply to a variety of companies, it will be of particular benefit to home builders, whose earnings have gyrated more widely than companies in some other industries.

The big public builders began lobbying hard for the tax break after the housing market crashed and companies were struggling to survive on dwindling cash reserves. But these days, many builders are sitting on lots of cash after years of selling assets and hoarding money.

J.P. Morgan reports that 10 of the top builders currently have an average of $1.2 billion in cash, compared with $616 million as the market soured in late 2007.

In the past few years, builders were so desperate for cash that they were “moving everything out the door, regardless of price just to bring money in,” said Rob Stevenson, a real-estate analyst with Fox-Pitt Kelton, an investment bank. Giving them a tax break now is essentially “giving them free money.”

Pulte Homes Inc., in Bloomfield Hills, Mich., estimates that it could buy fertility drugs without a prescription receive a tax refund in excess of $450 million. Credit Suisse, which upgraded two home builders on Friday, predicts Miami-based Lennar Corp. could see between $200 million and $300 million. Meritage Homes Corp., based in Scottsdale, Ariz., expects about $60 million.

The upgrade, tax news and other developments lifted shares for several builders. Lennar ended up 63 cents, or 4.7%, at $14.14. Meritage rose $1.11, or 5.9%, to $19.90.

Smaller private builders, which have been hit harder than big builders, would receive smaller refunds, but the cash will have a bigger impact.

“They can take a breath,” said Bill Killmer, vice president of advocacy at the National Association of Home Builders. “Many of these guys would have to shutter and close their doors. They’ll be able to survive.”

The tax break isn’t without controversy. Although the NAHB fought hard for the tax break, some members also fretted that large builders might use the break to unload land at a discount to generate a tax loss and then buy the land back when the market recovers, potentially putting smaller players at a disadvantage. But that is no longer a big concern since builders already sold off large swaths of land.

The tax break is part of a package that would also extend the first-time home-buyer tax credit.

Source article www.wsjonline.com

Click on graph for larger image in new window.

UPDATE: percentages corrected.

Here is the October data.

They started breaking out REO sales last year, but this is only the fifth monthly report with short sales. About 63.2 percent of all resales (single family homes and condos) were distressed sales in October.

cheap online pharmacy 10px; FLOAT: right; BORDER-TOP: #000000 1px solid; BORDER-RIGHT: #000000 1px solid” src=”http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_pMscxxELHEg/Svh9KdndruI/AAAAAAAAGwU/zvwgd82SM2M/s320/SacramentoOct2.jpg” border=”0″ alt=”Distressed Sales” /> The second graph shows the mix for the last four months. REO sales declined, but short sales and conventional sales were up. It will be interesting to see if foreclosure resales pick up later this year – or early next year – when the early trial modifications period is over.

Total sales in October were off 17.5% compared to October 2008; the fifth month in a row with declining YoY sales.

On financing, over half the sales were either all cash (24.6%) or FHA loans (28.9%), suggesting most of the activity in distressed former bubble areas like Sacramento is first-time home buyers using government-insured FHA loans (and taking advantage of the tax credit), and investors paying cash.

This is a local market still in distress.

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