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Are Distressed Homes Worth It?

Oct 7, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

Home buyers are finding that the battered real-estate market offers just as many opportunities for headaches as for bargains.
Seth and Crystal Grotzke, both 25 years old, recently bought a bank-owned two-bedroom, two-bathroom townhouse in Edina, Minn., for $110,000—when similar homes in the same development were selling for as much as $131,000. But exactly one day [...]

Home buyers are finding that the battered real-estate market offers just as many opportunities for headaches as for bargains.

Seth and Crystal Grotzke, both 25 years old, recently bought a bank-owned two-bedroom, two-bathroom townhouse in Edina, Minn., for $110,000—when similar homes in the same development were selling for as much as $131,000. But exactly one day before the scheduled July closing, the Grotzkes learned there was a second, unpaid mortgage. Because of the foul-up, the couple was forced to live in Mr. Grotzke’s boss’s basement for more than a month. They finally closed on Aug. 31.

“We knew there would be title issues, but none that would last for that long,” says Mr. Grotzke, an assistant pastor. He adds that buying a foreclosed property is a way for God to “teach you patience.”

Alisabeth and Colin Shearn bought this seven-bedroom house outside of Denver in a short sale.

Lots of home buyers are learning about patience these days. In August, nearly a third of overall housing sales were distress sales, according to the National Association of Realtors, up from 18% in March 2008, when it began tracking such sales. The figure includes both foreclosures and so-called short sales, in which the lender agrees to accept less than the full balance of a mortgage in order to unload the property.

In some parts of the country, such as Bakersfield, Calif., Las Vegas and Lakeland, Fla., distressed properties constitute half or more of all sales. So far this year, there have been nearly 411,000 sales of U.S. properties in some stage of foreclosure, according to RealtyTrac, which publishes a national database of homes in default, auctions and bank-owned homes.

Those numbers aren’t making it any easier to buy distressed property. Bidding wars are erupting for the lowest-priced foreclosures. Experienced investors with cash are elbowing aside first-time buyers who need mortgages. And banks generally sell property “as is,” without the defect disclosures required of other owners. Short-sale buyers, for their part, often face delays of weeks or cheap Acomplia months as they wait to hear back from lenders—and from the institutional investors who bought securities based on the mortgages.

Vandalized Properties

Distressed-property buyers also often have to cope with the fallout from the ruined lives of previous owners, such as vandalized properties and liens from second mortgages, taxes, unpaid water bills, homeowner-association dues and court judgments. For all that, final sale prices often aren’t significantly lower than average in some areas, because the foreclosure glut has also driven down prices for sellers who aren’t in default.

Buyers have to be thoroughly prepared by securing financing in advance and making sure they have a strong stomach, experts say. They should seek out agents with extensive experience and training in distressed property because the transactions are often complicated and time-consuming. Pushing and prodding bank officials, loan servicers and others is a big part of the job.

Colin and Alisabeth Shearn of Cherry Hills Village, Colo., a Denver suburb, managed to snag a seven-bedroom Mediterranean-style house in a short sale for $1,272,000, more than $900,000 below its original listing price in 2007. By the time they bid on the house last February, it had gone unsold for nearly two years and the price had been reduced to $1.5 million from $2.2 million. The couple closed on the purchase at the end of May, and moved in with their two preschool-age children.

“It was nerve-racking,” says Mr. Shearn, 41, a university research scientist. There was a long delay hearing back from the seller’s bank, and the last-minute discovery of a lien from an unpaid water bill—the water was about to be shut off.

But in the end, Mr. Shearn, says he and his wife, 42, a co-owner of a software company, were happy. “We really lucked out to find this house.”

Short sales like the Shearns’ are particularly complicated. Lenders require detailed information about both buyers’ and sellers’ finances, and homeowners generally have to prove hardship. The entire package of documents is scrutinized not just by lenders but by the mortgage investors. Second- and third-lien holders frequently hold up transactions demanding a larger share of the settlement. The average transaction takes four to six months or more, agents say.

Lenders say they are stepping up their efforts to handle short sales. J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. has doubled the number of employees handling such sales, while Bank of America Corp. recently began allowing real-estate agents to submit short-sale documents online, reducing the chance a sale will be stalled. At Wells Fargo & Co., efforts to speed up short sales helped produce a 145% increase in these transactions in August compared with the same month a year earlier, the bank says. Meanwhile, the National Association of Realtors and other groups have recently launched short-sale and foreclosure certification programs for agents.

New Guidelines

The U.S. Treasury Department is expected to issue streamlined guidelines to lenders on short sales soon. Housing-industry leaders say complicated procedures are hindering them from clearing the large inventory of distressed property necessary to return the housing market to normal. Now, only about 20% or so of short sales are successful, according to real-estate brokerage Re/Max International Inc.

Buying a foreclosure is usually speedier than a short sale because lenders already possess the property. But there are other drawbacks. State laws vary considerably with respect to legal procedures surrounding foreclosures. Many states require judicial proceedings for foreclosing on a home that can take more than 12 months, a period during which the home may be vacant or occupied by tenants or squatters. Homes may have appliances, pipes and even electrical wiring ripped out.

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The Housing Tax Credit: NAHB Projections and more

Oct 7, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

Its hard not to feel like the store is being robbed right in front of our eyes as the hand outs keep coming.  In the words of a friend “when, and ever, are we going to receive some hand outs?”  I don’t have any tarp funds nor have I ever so I am not going to [...]

Its hard not to feel like the store is being robbed right in front of our eyes as the hand outs keep coming.  In the words of a friend “when, and ever, are we going to receive some hand outs?”  I don’t have any tarp funds nor have I ever so I am not going to hold my breath.  -Sean

 
by CalculatedRisk on 10/07/2009 04:02:00 PM

From the NAHB:

Extending the credit through Nov. 30, 2010 and making it available to all purchasers of a principal residence would result in an additional 383,000 home sales

The NAHB has also been arguing to expand the tax credit from $8,000 to $15,000. But using $8,000 per home buyer – and estimating 5 million home sales over the next year – the total cost of the tax credit would be $40 billion.

According to the NAHB this would result in 383,000 additional home sales. Dividing $40 billion by 383 thousand gives $104,400 per additional home sold!

That is higher than my original estimate that an extension of the tax credit would cost about $100 thousand per additional home sold.

Note: If the NAHB meant $15,000 per home buyer, the cost would be $75 billion – or $157 thousand per additional home sold.

And this doesn’t included the costs of the unintended consequences.

  • The tax credit is simply motivating some renters to become homeowners (not reducing the overall number of excess housing units). This is pushing up the vacancy rent, pushing down rents and leading to more commercial real estate (CRE) defaults and foreclosures – and will lead to more losses for lenders. The additional defaults associated with lower rents will probably be higher than the cost of the tax credit. From the WSJ: Fed Frets About Commercial Real Estate

    [Fed economist] Mr. Conway’s presentation painted a bleak picture of the sliding real-estate values and enormous debt that will need to be refinanced in the next few years. Vacancy rates in the apartment, retail and warehouse sectors already have exceeded those seen during the real-estate collapse of the early 1990s, Mr. Conway noted. His report also predicted that commercial real-estate losses would reach roughly 45% next year. Valuing real estate has always been tricky for banks, and the problem is particularly acute now because sales activity is practically nonexistent.

    More than half of the $3.4 trillion in outstanding commercial real-estate debt is held by banks.

  • Motivating some renters to become homeowners has increased demand at the low end and pushed up house prices (more demand). However when the tax credit eventually ends (it will someday), the price-to-rent ratio will equalize, applying downward pressure on home prices.
  • Many of the additional sales in 2009 were to buyers who used the tax credit as their downpayment. These were marginal buyers who haven’t proven the ability to manage their finances and save for a down payment. The default rates will probably be higher for these buyers than for other buyers.
  • The housing tax credit raises the cheap drugs risk of deflation. Falling rents will probably already push core CPI close to zero in 2010. An extension of the housing tax credit will probably push rents down further (as those 383,000 additional home buyers move from renting to owning), and that will probably mean core CPI will be negative in 2010. Not only will this impact any program adjusted by CPI (like Social Security), but this could lead to a deflationary mentality for consumers – with consumers holding off purchases waiting for lower prices.
  • Anyone analyzing the tax credit should call the economists at the BLS and ask about how falling rents will impact owners’ equivalent rent and CPI. Then call the economists at the Federal Reserve and ask how CPI deflation will impact consumer behavior and monetary policy. Welcome to the Fed’s nightmare.

    Southern California AOA TradeShow Sept 30, 2009

    Sep 22, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

    Southern California Apartment Association Trade Show on 09/30/2009

    The purchase prescription drugs without a prescription largest rental housing education and networking event is just around the corner.  September 30, 2009 is the date for California’s largest rental housing expo to be held at the Long Beach Convention Center from 9:00 AM to 5:00 PM in [...]

    Southern California Apartment Association Trade Show on 09/30/2009

    The purchase prescription drugs without a prescription largest rental housing education and networking event is just around the corner.  September 30, 2009 is the date for California’s largest rental housing expo to be held at the Long Beach Convention Center from 9:00 AM to 5:00 PM in Exhibit Hall B.

    The event is designed and managed by The Apartment Association, California Southern Cities, and looks to be another great day with loads of free information on owning, managing and dealing with apartment housing. 

    You can discover and learn about all sorts of topics by browsing trade show booths, attending educational programs that will cover topics such as:

    • Secrets to Creating Wealth
    • Credit Checking in Today’s Market
    • Covering Your Legal Bases
    • Profitable Employment Practices
    • Social Networking 101
    • How to Rent to Today’s Tenants (Panel)
    • Taking Advantage of a Depressed Real Estate Market
    • How to Cut Costs and Put More $$$ in Your Pocket
    • Solutions to the Water Problem for Owners (Panel)
    • Fair Housing Conversation
    • Resident Retention Techniques
    • and much, much more…

    Housing Risking Relapse Confronts Bernanke Conundrum (Update1)

    Sep 22, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

    Sept. 21 (Bloomberg) — The recovering housing market may be heading for a relapse as President Barack Obama and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke consider ending support for the source of the global financial crisis.
    The Obama administration is studying whether to let a first-time home buyers’ tax credit expire as scheduled at the end [...]

    Sept. 21 (Bloomberg) — The recovering housing market may be heading for a relapse as President Barack Obama and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke consider ending support for the source of the global financial crisis.

    The Obama administration is studying whether to let a first-time home buyers’ tax credit expire as scheduled at the end of November. Bernanke and his Fed colleagues may continue talking this week about how to wind down purchases of mortgage- backed securities, according to Peter Hooper, chief economist at Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. in New York. The two programs have helped stabilize real-estate demand, with new-house sales rising 9.6 percent in July from the prior month, the most since 2005.

    Ending these efforts may stifle the housing rebound by depressing sales and pushing up both mortgage-backed bond yields and interest rates on home loans, even in the face of the record-low zero to 0.25 percent short-term rates the Fed has engineered, said economist Thomas Lawler. A weaker housing market would likely dampen the economic recovery and undercut shares of builders including Fort Worth, Texas-based D.R. Horton Inc. and Miami-based Lennar Corp., that have risen 40 percent this year, based on the Standard and Poor’s Supercomposite Homebuilding Index of 12 companies.

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    Federal Incentives Coming for Short Sales, Deeds-in-Lieu

    Sep 10, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

    This looks like a better opportunity for the Lenders/lien holders than a straight REO sale.  Maybe the buy drugs shadow inventory of REOs and foreclosures which are in limbo due to the moratoriums will finally see the light of day and start to make it into the pipeline of homes for sale.
    -Sean
    By Diana Golobay [...]

    This looks like a better opportunity for the Lenders/lien holders than a straight REO sale.  Maybe the buy drugs shadow inventory of REOs and foreclosures which are in limbo due to the moratoriums will finally see the light of day and start to make it into the pipeline of homes for sale.

    -Sean

    By Diana Golobay at HousingWire

    The mortgage servicing industry in coming weeks will see details of an incentive program aimed to prevent foreclosures by encouraging servicers to pursue short sales and deeds-in-lieu of foreclosure.

    US Treasury Department sources confirmed to HousingWire the Treasury expects to issue details on the short sale and deed-in-lieu program later this month.

    The program is being finalized and will be announced as soon as possible, according to testimony Wednesday by Federal Housing Administration (FHA) commissioner David Stevens.

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    Investors flip foreclosures

    Sep 2, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

    I am seeing a lot of this going on from the foreclosures in Arizona and California.  The source article is from the OC Register. -Sean

    Investors flip foreclosures
    August 17th, 2009, 1:27 pm · 29 Comments · posted by Mathew Padilla

    (Update: Foreclosure auction prices added.)
    Three of eight properties sold at a July 16 foreclosure auction, known as [...]

    I am seeing a lot of this going on from the foreclosures in Arizona and California.  The source article is from the OC Register. -Sean

    Investors flip foreclosures

    August 17th, 2009, 1:27 pm · 29 Comments · posted by Mathew Padilla

    (Update: Foreclosure auction prices added.)

    Three of eight properties sold at a July 16 foreclosure auction, known as a trustee’s sale, that I visited are now listed for resale. I have been visiting auctions and tracking Drugs Without Prescription the houses and condos to see if investors plan to hold and rent out what they buy, or simply flip them.

    Read More » »

    New Wave of Foreclosures on Horizon

    Aug 21, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

    Another great read from Mish, it is still amazing the type and Buy Generic Cialis Online speed which we now get information on important topics like this.  To think people are still buying and flipping in California and Arizona with this type of inventory lingering.  It feels a lot like musical chairs only with [...]

    Another great read from Mish, it is still amazing the type and Buy Generic Cialis Online speed which we now get information on important topics like this.  To think people are still buying and flipping in California and Arizona with this type of inventory lingering.  It feels a lot like musical chairs only with real estate I hope no one you know gets caught standing when the music stops again..-Sean

     

    Brace for a Wave of Foreclosures, the Dam is About to Break

    A summary of Second Quarter 2009 Negative Equity Data from First American CoreLogic shows that Nearly One-Third Of All Mortgages Are Underwater.

    • More than 15.2 million U.S. mortgages, or 32.2 percent of all mortgaged properties, were in negative equity position as of June 30, 2009 according to newly released data from First American CoreLogic. As of June 2009, there were an additional 2.5 million mortgaged properties that were approaching negative equity. Negative equity and near negative equity mortgages combined account for nearly 38 percent of all residential properties with a mortgage nationwide.

    Read More » »

    Housing

    Aug 18, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

    HOUSING MARKET
    Some saw the housing bubble and sold; trick now is spotting the bottom
    Some who sold homes during the bubble are buying again, drawn by deals, despite the possibility of further price drops.Mark Kiesel saw the real estate crash coming.

    HOUSING MARKET

    Some saw the housing bubble and sold; trick now is spotting the bottom

    Some who sold homes during the bubble are buying again, drawn by deals, despite the possibility of further price drops.Mark Kiesel saw the real estate crash coming.

    Read More » »

    Brace for a Wave of Foreclosures, the Dam is About to Break

    Aug 18, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

    Brace for a Wave of Foreclosures, the Dam is About to Break
    A summary of Second Quarter 2009 Negative Equity Data from First American CoreLogic shows that Nearly One-Third Of All Mortgages Are Underwater.
    • More than 15.2 million U.S. mortgages, or 32.2 percent of all mortgaged properties, were in negative equity position as of June 30, [...]

    Brace for a Wave of Foreclosures, the Dam is About to Break

    A summary of Second Quarter 2009 Negative Equity Data from First American CoreLogic shows that Nearly One-Third Of All Mortgages Are Underwater.

    • More than 15.2 million U.S. mortgages, or 32.2 percent of all mortgaged properties, were in negative equity position as of June 30, 2009 according to newly released data from First American CoreLogic. As of June 2009, there were an additional 2.5 million mortgaged properties that were approaching negative equity. Negative equity and near negative equity mortgages combined account for nearly 38 percent of all residential properties with a mortgage nationwide.

    Read More » »

    National Data: Distressed Sales and Types of Buyers

    Aug 14, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

    Source: Summary Report–Real Estate Agents Report on Home Purchases and Mortgages, Campbell Communications, June 2009

    Source: Summary Report–Real Estate Agents Report on Home Purchases and Mortgages, Campbell Communications, June 2009

    Viagra cheap right;” src=”http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_pMscxxELHEg/SoNNYWmcWfI/AAAAAAAAGFU/1TG62e5oxog/s320/Campbell.jpg” border=”0″ alt=”Distressed Sales” /> Click on graph for larger image in new window.

    The Campbell survey broke REOs down into damaged and move-in ready.

    Click to read source article

    The other day i ran accross the above article on Distressed Sales.  This article is great!

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