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House Rules from RealtyTrac

Oct 7, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

House Rules
Thinking of buying a distressed property? It’s very different than a standard real-estate transaction. Here are some pointers:

Distressed-property listings can be obtained from local real-estate agents, classified ads and Web sites such as RealtyTrac.com, Foreclosure.com, Trulia.com and Zillow.com, as well as bank Web sites.
Work with experienced real-estate agents and brokers with special training in [...]

House Rules

Thinking of buying a distressed property? It’s very different than a standard real-estate transaction. Here are some pointers:

  • Distressed-property listings can be obtained from local real-estate agents, classified ads and Web sites such as RealtyTrac.com, Foreclosure.com, Trulia.com and Zillow.com, as well as bank Web sites.
  • Work with experienced real-estate agents and brokers with special training in foreclosures and short sales.
  • Get pre-approved by a lender, or certify that you have sufficient cash available, before bidding on properties. Auction buyers must be prepared to put down a cash deposit of 5 to 10% cash and pay the balance within 30 days in many states—and in some states, on the same day.
  • Get a thorough inspection by a qualified professional inspector or home-inspection engineer prior to auction or sale.
  • Arrange for a thorough title search and title insurance.
  • Be prepared for a long wait to hear back from the bank on a short sale, but be prepared to how to get prescription drugs without a prescription move quickly on a foreclosure; banks often set strict timetables on foreclosures.
  • First-time buyers with minimal cash and little time or aptitude for repairs probably should avoid foreclosures, and inexperienced purchasers should avoid auctions.

Sources: RealtyTrac.com; Distressed Property Institute; HUD; WSJ research

“It was nerve-racking,” says Mr. Shearn, 41, a university research scientist. There was a long delay hearing back from the seller’s bank, and the last-minute discovery of a lien from an unpaid water bill—the water was about to be shut off.

But in the end, Mr. Shearn, says he and his wife, 42, a co-owner of a software company, were happy. “We really lucked out to find this house.”

Short sales like the Shearns’ are particularly complicated. Lenders require detailed information about both buyers’ and sellers’ finances, and homeowners generally have to prove hardship. The entire package of documents is scrutinized not just by lenders but by the mortgage investors. Second- and third-lien holders frequently hold up transactions demanding a larger share of the settlement. The average transaction takes four to six months or more, agents say.

Lenders say they are stepping up their efforts to handle short sales. J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. has doubled the number of employees handling

Are Distressed Homes Worth It?

Oct 7, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

Home buyers are finding that the battered real-estate market offers just as many opportunities for headaches as for bargains.
Seth and Crystal Grotzke, both 25 years old, recently bought a bank-owned two-bedroom, two-bathroom townhouse in Edina, Minn., for $110,000—when similar homes in the same development were selling for as much as $131,000. But exactly one day [...]

Home buyers are finding that the battered real-estate market offers just as many opportunities for headaches as for bargains.

Seth and Crystal Grotzke, both 25 years old, recently bought a bank-owned two-bedroom, two-bathroom townhouse in Edina, Minn., for $110,000—when similar homes in the same development were selling for as much as $131,000. But exactly one day before the scheduled July closing, the Grotzkes learned there was a second, unpaid mortgage. Because of the foul-up, the couple was forced to live in Mr. Grotzke’s boss’s basement for more than a month. They finally closed on Aug. 31.

“We knew there would be title issues, but none that would last for that long,” says Mr. Grotzke, an assistant pastor. He adds that buying a foreclosed property is a way for God to “teach you patience.”

Alisabeth and Colin Shearn bought this seven-bedroom house outside of Denver in a short sale.

Lots of home buyers are learning about patience these days. In August, nearly a third of overall housing sales were distress sales, according to the National Association of Realtors, up from 18% in March 2008, when it began tracking such sales. The figure includes both foreclosures and so-called short sales, in which the lender agrees to accept less than the full balance of a mortgage in order to unload the property.

In some parts of the country, such as Bakersfield, Calif., Las Vegas and Lakeland, Fla., distressed properties constitute half or more of all sales. So far this year, there have been nearly 411,000 sales of U.S. properties in some stage of foreclosure, according to RealtyTrac, which publishes a national database of homes in default, auctions and bank-owned homes.

Those numbers aren’t making it any easier to buy distressed property. Bidding wars are erupting for the lowest-priced foreclosures. Experienced investors with cash are elbowing aside first-time buyers who need mortgages. And banks generally sell property “as is,” without the defect disclosures required of other owners. Short-sale buyers, for their part, often face delays of weeks or cheap Acomplia months as they wait to hear back from lenders—and from the institutional investors who bought securities based on the mortgages.

Vandalized Properties

Distressed-property buyers also often have to cope with the fallout from the ruined lives of previous owners, such as vandalized properties and liens from second mortgages, taxes, unpaid water bills, homeowner-association dues and court judgments. For all that, final sale prices often aren’t significantly lower than average in some areas, because the foreclosure glut has also driven down prices for sellers who aren’t in default.

Buyers have to be thoroughly prepared by securing financing in advance and making sure they have a strong stomach, experts say. They should seek out agents with extensive experience and training in distressed property because the transactions are often complicated and time-consuming. Pushing and prodding bank officials, loan servicers and others is a big part of the job.

Colin and Alisabeth Shearn of Cherry Hills Village, Colo., a Denver suburb, managed to snag a seven-bedroom Mediterranean-style house in a short sale for $1,272,000, more than $900,000 below its original listing price in 2007. By the time they bid on the house last February, it had gone unsold for nearly two years and the price had been reduced to $1.5 million from $2.2 million. The couple closed on the purchase at the end of May, and moved in with their two preschool-age children.

“It was nerve-racking,” says Mr. Shearn, 41, a university research scientist. There was a long delay hearing back from the seller’s bank, and the last-minute discovery of a lien from an unpaid water bill—the water was about to be shut off.

But in the end, Mr. Shearn, says he and his wife, 42, a co-owner of a software company, were happy. “We really lucked out to find this house.”

Short sales like the Shearns’ are particularly complicated. Lenders require detailed information about both buyers’ and sellers’ finances, and homeowners generally have to prove hardship. The entire package of documents is scrutinized not just by lenders but by the mortgage investors. Second- and third-lien holders frequently hold up transactions demanding a larger share of the settlement. The average transaction takes four to six months or more, agents say.

Lenders say they are stepping up their efforts to handle short sales. J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. has doubled the number of employees handling such sales, while Bank of America Corp. recently began allowing real-estate agents to submit short-sale documents online, reducing the chance a sale will be stalled. At Wells Fargo & Co., efforts to speed up short sales helped produce a 145% increase in these transactions in August compared with the same month a year earlier, the bank says. Meanwhile, the National Association of Realtors and other groups have recently launched short-sale and foreclosure certification programs for agents.

New Guidelines

The U.S. Treasury Department is expected to issue streamlined guidelines to lenders on short sales soon. Housing-industry leaders say complicated procedures are hindering them from clearing the large inventory of distressed property necessary to return the housing market to normal. Now, only about 20% or so of short sales are successful, according to real-estate brokerage Re/Max International Inc.

Buying a foreclosure is usually speedier than a short sale because lenders already possess the property. But there are other drawbacks. State laws vary considerably with respect to legal procedures surrounding foreclosures. Many states require judicial proceedings for foreclosing on a home that can take more than 12 months, a period during which the home may be vacant or occupied by tenants or squatters. Homes may have appliances, pipes and even electrical wiring ripped out.

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The Housing Tax Credit: NAHB Projections and more

Oct 7, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

Its hard not to feel like the store is being robbed right in front of our eyes as the hand outs keep coming.  In the words of a friend “when, and ever, are we going to receive some hand outs?”  I don’t have any tarp funds nor have I ever so I am not going to [...]

Its hard not to feel like the store is being robbed right in front of our eyes as the hand outs keep coming.  In the words of a friend “when, and ever, are we going to receive some hand outs?”  I don’t have any tarp funds nor have I ever so I am not going to hold my breath.  -Sean

 
by CalculatedRisk on 10/07/2009 04:02:00 PM

From the NAHB:

Extending the credit through Nov. 30, 2010 and making it available to all purchasers of a principal residence would result in an additional 383,000 home sales

The NAHB has also been arguing to expand the tax credit from $8,000 to $15,000. But using $8,000 per home buyer – and estimating 5 million home sales over the next year – the total cost of the tax credit would be $40 billion.

According to the NAHB this would result in 383,000 additional home sales. Dividing $40 billion by 383 thousand gives $104,400 per additional home sold!

That is higher than my original estimate that an extension of the tax credit would cost about $100 thousand per additional home sold.

Note: If the NAHB meant $15,000 per home buyer, the cost would be $75 billion – or $157 thousand per additional home sold.

And this doesn’t included the costs of the unintended consequences.

  • The tax credit is simply motivating some renters to become homeowners (not reducing the overall number of excess housing units). This is pushing up the vacancy rent, pushing down rents and leading to more commercial real estate (CRE) defaults and foreclosures – and will lead to more losses for lenders. The additional defaults associated with lower rents will probably be higher than the cost of the tax credit. From the WSJ: Fed Frets About Commercial Real Estate

    [Fed economist] Mr. Conway’s presentation painted a bleak picture of the sliding real-estate values and enormous debt that will need to be refinanced in the next few years. Vacancy rates in the apartment, retail and warehouse sectors already have exceeded those seen during the real-estate collapse of the early 1990s, Mr. Conway noted. His report also predicted that commercial real-estate losses would reach roughly 45% next year. Valuing real estate has always been tricky for banks, and the problem is particularly acute now because sales activity is practically nonexistent.

    More than half of the $3.4 trillion in outstanding commercial real-estate debt is held by banks.

  • Motivating some renters to become homeowners has increased demand at the low end and pushed up house prices (more demand). However when the tax credit eventually ends (it will someday), the price-to-rent ratio will equalize, applying downward pressure on home prices.
  • Many of the additional sales in 2009 were to buyers who used the tax credit as their downpayment. These were marginal buyers who haven’t proven the ability to manage their finances and save for a down payment. The default rates will probably be higher for these buyers than for other buyers.
  • The housing tax credit raises the cheap drugs risk of deflation. Falling rents will probably already push core CPI close to zero in 2010. An extension of the housing tax credit will probably push rents down further (as those 383,000 additional home buyers move from renting to owning), and that will probably mean core CPI will be negative in 2010. Not only will this impact any program adjusted by CPI (like Social Security), but this could lead to a deflationary mentality for consumers – with consumers holding off purchases waiting for lower prices.
  • Anyone analyzing the tax credit should call the economists at the BLS and ask about how falling rents will impact owners’ equivalent rent and CPI. Then call the economists at the Federal Reserve and ask how CPI deflation will impact consumer behavior and monetary policy. Welcome to the Fed’s nightmare.

    Apartment vacancy rate hits 23-year high: report

    Oct 7, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

    NEW YORK (Reuters) – The U.S. apartment market in the third quarter turned in one of its weakest performances ever as the national vacancy rate hit a 23-year high despite being propped up by landlords willing to take lower rent to keep tenants, according to real estate research firm cheap drugs without prescription Reis [...]

    NEW YORK (Reuters) – The U.S. apartment market in the third quarter turned in one of its weakest performances ever as the national vacancy rate hit a 23-year high despite being propped up by landlords willing to take lower rent to keep tenants, according to real estate research firm cheap drugs without prescription Reis Inc.

    The U.S. apartment vacancy rate rose to 7.8 percent in the third quarter, its highest since 1986, according to the report released on Tuesday. Vacancies have been rising since the third quarter of 2007, according to Reis.

    The U.S. apartment market has been reeling for more than a year as its main demand driver, job growth, disappeared in the U.S. recession.

    Loans on apartment buildings have led the real estate industry in defaults with hotels a close second. These types of properties have short leases and downturns show up quickly.

    But the tough times for both sectors do not bode well for the rest of the commercial real estate industry, where longer leases can mask falling market rents.

    Read More » »

    Debt-Market Paralysis Deepens Credit Drought

    Oct 7, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

    A year after Washington rescued the big names of American finance, it’s still hard to get a loan. But the problem isn’t just tight-fisted banks.

    Skip to next paragraph

    Multimedia
    Graphic
    On Life Support

    Graphic
    Tightening the Credit Strings

    Related
    Times Topics: Federal Reserve System

    The continued disarray in debt-securitization markets, which in recent years were the source of roughly 60 percent [...]

    A year after Washington rescued the big names of American finance, it’s still hard to get a loan. But the problem isn’t just tight-fisted banks.

    Related

    Times Topics: Federal Reserve System

    The continued disarray in debt-securitization markets, which in recent years were the source of roughly 60 percent of all credit in the United States, is making loans scarce and threatening to slow the economic recovery. Many of these markets are operating only because the government is propping them up.

    But now the Federal Reserve has put these markets on notice that it plans to withdraw its support for them. Policy makers hope private investors will return to the markets, which imploded during the financial crisis.

    The exit will require a delicate balancing act, government officials said.

    “You do it incrementally, where and when you think you can, and not sooner,” said Lee Sachs, a counselor to the Treasury secretary, Timothy F. Geithner.

    The debt-securitization markets finance corporate loans, home mortgages, student loans and more. In good times, they enabled banks to package their loans into securities and resell them to investors. That process, known as securitization, freed banks to lend even more money.

    Read More » »