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Southern California AOA TradeShow Sept 30, 2009

Sep 22, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

Southern California Apartment Association Trade Show on 09/30/2009

The purchase prescription drugs without a prescription largest rental housing education and networking event is just around the corner.  September 30, 2009 is the date for California’s largest rental housing expo to be held at the Long Beach Convention Center from 9:00 AM to 5:00 PM in [...]

Southern California Apartment Association Trade Show on 09/30/2009

The purchase prescription drugs without a prescription largest rental housing education and networking event is just around the corner.  September 30, 2009 is the date for California’s largest rental housing expo to be held at the Long Beach Convention Center from 9:00 AM to 5:00 PM in Exhibit Hall B.

The event is designed and managed by The Apartment Association, California Southern Cities, and looks to be another great day with loads of free information on owning, managing and dealing with apartment housing. 

You can discover and learn about all sorts of topics by browsing trade show booths, attending educational programs that will cover topics such as:

  • Secrets to Creating Wealth
  • Credit Checking in Today’s Market
  • Covering Your Legal Bases
  • Profitable Employment Practices
  • Social Networking 101
  • How to Rent to Today’s Tenants (Panel)
  • Taking Advantage of a Depressed Real Estate Market
  • How to Cut Costs and Put More $$$ in Your Pocket
  • Solutions to the Water Problem for Owners (Panel)
  • Fair Housing Conversation
  • Resident Retention Techniques
  • and much, much more…

Housing Risking Relapse Confronts Bernanke Conundrum (Update1)

Sep 22, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

Sept. 21 (Bloomberg) — The recovering housing market may be heading for a relapse as President Barack Obama and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke consider ending support for the source of the global financial crisis.
The Obama administration is studying whether to let a first-time home buyers’ tax credit expire as scheduled at the end [...]

Sept. 21 (Bloomberg) — The recovering housing market may be heading for a relapse as President Barack Obama and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke consider ending support for the source of the global financial crisis.

The Obama administration is studying whether to let a first-time home buyers’ tax credit expire as scheduled at the end of November. Bernanke and his Fed colleagues may continue talking this week about how to wind down purchases of mortgage- backed securities, according to Peter Hooper, chief economist at Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. in New York. The two programs have helped stabilize real-estate demand, with new-house sales rising 9.6 percent in July from the prior month, the most since 2005.

Ending these efforts may stifle the housing rebound by depressing sales and pushing up both mortgage-backed bond yields and interest rates on home loans, even in the face of the record-low zero to 0.25 percent short-term rates the Fed has engineered, said economist Thomas Lawler. A weaker housing market would likely dampen the economic recovery and undercut shares of builders including Fort Worth, Texas-based D.R. Horton Inc. and Miami-based Lennar Corp., that have risen 40 percent this year, based on the Standard and Poor’s Supercomposite Homebuilding Index of 12 companies.

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Home prices’ big role as crisis hit state hard

Sep 22, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

As always there are a few things that hit me a little funnier than others…First, the implications are California was THE truly contributing factor to the demise of Lehmans forget the naked shorts driving the stock price down, fyi the naked shorts totaled 67 times the amount of stock issued, and forget the rest of the country’s [...]

As always there are a few things that hit me a little funnier than others…First, the implications are California was THE truly contributing factor to the demise of Lehmans forget the naked shorts driving the stock price down, fyi the naked shorts totaled 67 times the amount of stock issued, and forget the rest of the country’s bad buy amoxicillin without prescription debt in relation to loan origination.  I guess the Hedge fund boys had nothing to do with this how about the SEC does their job and go after the big boys.  Secondly, California just doesn’t get it as all government doesn’t get it balance the budget and quit spending what you don’t have.  As a business owner if I spend more than my budget/income dictates I go broke and I go out of business.  Time for the free ride to end California. -Sean

Please see the link as the source article cannot be pasted on the page.   Source Article San Francisco Chronicle

Read more: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2009/09/15/MNBC19MVAP.DTL&type=realestate&ref=patrick.net#ixzz0RrI7GnTt

Calculated Risk Article on Mortgage Delinquincies on the Rise

Sep 22, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

Report: Mortgage Delinquencies increase in August

by CalculatedRisk on 9/21/2009 11:09:00 Buy cheap Cialis AM
From Reuters: Mortgage Delinquencies Rise Alongside Unemployment (ht Ron Wallstreetpit)
Reuters reports that a record 7.58% of U.S. homeowners with mortgages were 30+ days delinquent in August, up from 7.32% in July … and up from 4.89% in August 2008.
Reuters also [...]

Report: Mortgage Delinquencies increase in August

by CalculatedRisk on 9/21/2009 11:09:00 Buy cheap Cialis AM

From Reuters: Mortgage Delinquencies Rise Alongside Unemployment (ht Ron Wallstreetpit)

Reuters reports that a record 7.58% of U.S. homeowners with mortgages were 30+ days delinquent in August, up from 7.32% in July … and up from 4.89% in August 2008.

Reuters also notes that delinquencies are rising at “an accelerating pace”.

This is one part of the coming “triple whammy” at the end of this year that Tom Lawler mentioned this morning: rising foreclosures, end of the Fed buying MBS, and the end of the housing tax credit.

We have to be a little careful with the delinquency numbers because they include homeowners in the trial period for modifications.

Note: This uses a different approach than the MBA. The MBA reported 9.24% of all loans outstanding were delinquent at the end of the 2nd quarter. Another 4.3% of loans were in the foreclosure process.

Moody’s Property Index sees a “Sharp” Fall in latest report

Sep 22, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

This article is compliments of Bloomberg and it underscores what we are seeing in Commercial Real Estate (CRE) in general.  At the IMN symposium last week for distressed residential real estate on speaker for a top national brokerage stated volumn was off 45% from the volumn late last year.  Unfortunately, things for CRE are only [...]

This article is compliments of Bloomberg and it underscores what we are seeing in Commercial Real Estate (CRE) in general.  At the IMN symposium last week for distressed residential real estate on speaker for a top national brokerage stated volumn was off 45% from the volumn late last year.  Unfortunately, things for CRE are only going to get worse unless President Obama gets involved in this market also. -Sean

Sept. 21 (Bloomberg) — Commercial real estate prices in the U.S. resumed a “steep decline” in July after showing signs of leveling off in June, Moody’s Investors Service said, as credit restrictions curtail lending and push landlords toward default.

The Moody’s/REAL Commercial Property Price Indices fell 5.1 percent in July from the month before, Moody’s said today in a statement. The index is down almost 39 percent from its October 2007 peak. The decline in June was 1 percent.

Commercial property sales this year may fall to an 18-year low. This latest set of numbers suggests no letup in that trend, said Neal Elkin, president of Real Estate Analytics LLC, a New York firm that partners with Moody’s in producing the report.

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Rental Relief Article from Globe Street

Sep 22, 2009 | No Comments | Sean Mills

Rental Relief—Necessary Evil or Delaying the Inevitable?
ORANGE COUNTY-Given the economic conditions everyone is currently experiencing, a question that continually arises in the industry from tenants is “How do I get my rent reduced,” or from landlords: “Should I agree to reduce my tenant’s rent?” And when rent is typically one of the highest expenses as [...]

Rental Relief—Necessary Evil or Delaying the Inevitable?

ORANGE COUNTY-Given the economic conditions everyone is currently experiencing, a question that continually arises in the industry from tenants is “How do I get my rent reduced,” or from landlords: “Should I agree to reduce my tenant’s rent?” And when rent is typically one of the highest expenses as associated with running a business, more and more tenants are requesting a rent reduction from their landlord. However, under what circumstances does a rent reduction make sense to both the tenant and the landlord? Brad Nielsen, a partner in the office of the law firm of Allen Matkins Leck Gamble Mallory & Natsis LLP, and Randolph Mason, a senior vice president and one of the partners of Lee & Associates—Irvine Inc., take a look a this question in the article below, and explore compromises they currently see in the marketplace.

Landlord’s View:

One might ask, “Why would a landlord ever reduce its tenant’s rental obligation when there is a valid and enforceable lease contract in place?” The bottom line is: if a tenant goes out of business in this economy, it’s possible in many markets that the tenant’s space will sit vacant for many months. In this scenario, the landlord will neither be receiving base rent nor will they receive a reimbursement of any of the property’s operating expenses from the tenant, such as taxes, insurance, maintenance, landscaping, etc. For this reason alone, some landlords are willing to work with the tenant and agree upon a rental amount that tenant’s business can sustain during the short term.

Now, assuming tenant and landlord can come to an agreement on a reduced rental amount, typically the landlord will ask for an extension in the tenant’s lease term (in order for the landlord to recoup its temporary reduced rent), along with other assurances that the tenant will continue to timely make its rental payments throughout the extended term. Such other assurances that may be considered would be: an increase in the security deposit (however, most likely the tenant does not have the extra cash, otherwise they would have been timely making their prior rent payments); a letter of credit for a specified amount; or a personal guaranty on the lease from a credit worthy entity or individual affiliated Cialis with the tenant. Such assurances allow landlord to become comfortable that the tenant is committed to keeping its business running and paying its future rental obligations.

However, landlords providing rental reductions pose various obstacles. First and foremost, landlords typically buy buildings with debt with the belief that the rents received will offset the mortgage and other expenses and hopefully provide some level of return on investment. Any rental reduction will obviously affect the landlord’s return on investment. Decreased rents can also impact the ability of the landlord entity to maintain and provide certain services to the building, which in turn can affect the likelihood of leasing vacant spaces, which further impacts the cash flow of the property. As a result, a rent reduction may not be an alternative available to every landlord out there.

Tenant’s View:

Differing greatly from landlord’s intentions, tenant’s typically ask for rental relief due to the fact that the cash flow from their clients is decreasing or their accounts receivable is aging longer into the future, both circumstances creating a precarious position for the tenant to pay their bills. Case in point, a client recently showed us a letter that one of their clients systematically distributes to all of their venders asking for a no questions asked 10% decrease in funds due. It was pretty much, please sign this form and we will continue to use your services. A few nationwide retail tenants have also sent out similar letters to “all” of their landlords across the country.

We also have numerous other clients whose gross revenues are off dramatically and who are attempting to renegotiate their leases with their existing landlords. The landlords are asking for current income statements and balance sheets, along with an explanation as to how the tenant proposes to increase their future revenues in order for them to stay in business. Basically, the landlord is looking for their business plan, a reason to grant a rent reduction and comfort that the tenant is going to survive the current down economy. As a result, a tenant seeking a rent reduction should gather all this information upfront and approach its landlord with its best foot forward. Landlords need to believe that it is worth “betting” on its tenant’s business and that the landlord’s loyalty will pay off in the future.

Conclusion:

We believe we will see more of these requests coming in the future months and there needs to be some up front, candid discussions early on between the tenant and landlord. Additionally, the tenant needs to understand a landlord’s motivation and vice versa. No one wants to “delay the inevitable,” so tenants should come to the table armed with evidence of how it plans on weathering the current economic downturn.

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